The World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update, released on 5 June 2024, updates the current climate and future projections of progressing climate change.

It warned that the world was perilously close to breaching the crucial Paris Agreement. The update provides the following predictions:

A chance of at least one year exceeding 1.5°C has risen from close to nearly zero in 2015 to 80% today in the next five years between 2024 and 2028.
The global mean near-surface temperature for each year between 2024 and 2028 is predicted to be between 1.1°C and 1.9°C higher than the 1850-1900 baseline.
It says that there is an 86% that at least one of the years between 2024 and 2028 will set a new temperature record, beating 2023, which is currently the warmest year.
The likelihood of the temperatures averaged over the five-year period (2024-2028) has risen from 32% in last year’s report to 47% in the current update.

Read the World Meteorological Organization’s latest update by browsing the link in the “Source” section.

The video below provides more information.